1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 25 Apr, 14:30
1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 28%
Away 44%

💡 Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a slight edge — leaning Bayer 04 Leverkusen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1565 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on 1. FC Köln v Leverkusen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1446).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
1. FC Köln

Green = favours 1. FC Köln · Blue = favours Leverkusen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
1. FC KölnDDDWD1.4 ppg
LeverkusenDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
1. FC Köln1446
Leverkusen1565
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 24% · 43%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning17% · 40% · 43%

AI match preview

In this Bundesliga clash, Bayer 04 Leverkusen hold a slight edge with a 44% chance to claim victory, though 1. FC Köln and a draw both share a 28% probability, indicating a closely contested affair. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.71 for Köln and 1.95 for Leverkusen, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away win preference. With a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.95

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

RheinEnergieStadion Cologne, Germany Capacity 50,000 · grass
Clear · 14.7°C
Feels like 13.9°C Wind 8 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dec 2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Köln