Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 26 Apr, 16:30
Borussia Dortmund
40 Full time
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 13%
Away 15%

💡 Borussia Dortmund are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1641 v 1501 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1641 vs 1501).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Dortmund

Green = favours Dortmund · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DortmundWWWLL1.8 ppg
FreiburgLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Dortmund1641
Freiburg1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 20% · 11%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning80% · 8% · 12%

AI match preview

Borussia Dortmund are favored to secure a home win against SC Freiburg, with a 72% probability and strong confidence at 88/100, supported by an expected goals margin of 2.25 to 0.79. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and an even 50% probability for both teams to score. These projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered thoughtfully—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.79

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Signal Iduna Park Dortmund, Germany Capacity 81,365 · grass
Clear · 15.5°C
Feels like 12°C Wind 7 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg
Dec 2025 SC Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund