VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 26 Apr, 14:30
VfB Stuttgart 1–1 SV Werder Bremen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 15%
Away 14%

💡 VfB Stuttgart are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1428 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Bremen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • VfB Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1428).
  • VfB Stuttgart is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartWWLWL1.8 ppg
BremenLWLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1593
Bremen1428
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 26% · 16%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning87% · 7% · 7%

AI match preview

VfB Stuttgart are favored to claim victory with a 72% probability, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.78 to 0.83 over SV Werder Bremen. Despite the home win projection, the model suggests a draw is also plausible, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. Fans can anticipate a moderately balanced game with under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each having a 48% chance; remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.83

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass
Partly cloudy · 19°C
Feels like 17.1°C Wind 9 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 SV Werder Bremen
Dec 2025 SV Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart