Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 3 May, 16:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 26%
Away 57%

💡 Borussia Dortmund are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1651 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on M'gladbach v Dortmund

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1651 vs 1444).
  • Borussia Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
M'gladbach

Green = favours M'gladbach · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
M'gladbachDDLDD0.8 ppg
DortmundWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
M'gladbach1444
Dortmund1651
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 24% · 59%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 59%
Machine-learning7% · 42% · 51%

AI match preview

Borussia Dortmund enter this Bundesliga clash as favorites with a 57% chance to win, while Borussia Mönchengladbach hold a 17% probability, and a draw is pegged at 26%. The model forecasts a moderately tight contest with expected goals around 0.94 for the home side and 1.94 for Dortmund, suggesting a potential 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each sitting just above 50%, fans can anticipate an open game, though these projections are statistical and outcomes can vary—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.94

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Borussia-Park Monchengladbach, Germany Capacity 54,042 · grass
Light drizzle · 13.6°C
Feels like 12.9°C Wind 10 km/h Rain chance 98%
Wet pitch likely

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach