Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 2 May, 17:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 25%
Away 34%

💡 Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a slight edge — leaning Bayer 04 Leverkusen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1575 v 1612 RB Leipzig rated higher
Form Index 2 v 3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v RB Leipzig

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1575 vs 1612).
  • RB Leipzig is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
RB Leipzig
Form Index
RB Leipzig
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours RB Leipzig. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenDWWLW2 ppg
RB LeipzigWWWWW3 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1575
RB Leipzig1612
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 27% · 29%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 24% · 39%

AI match preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and RB Leipzig are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 40% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 25% and 34% respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight game with Leverkusen favored to score 1.63 times compared to Leipzig's 1.28, and the most likely scoreline predicted is a 1-1 draw. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% likelihood both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open match, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig
Dec 2025 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen