TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 2 May, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 24%
Away 33%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have a slight edge — leaning TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1576 v 1587 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1576 vs 1587).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Stuttgart. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimLLDWW1.4 ppg
StuttgartWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1576
Stuttgart1587
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 22% · 35%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning42% · 27% · 31%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim host VfB Stuttgart in a closely matched Bundesliga fixture where the model slightly favors a home win with a 43% probability, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are expected to find the net, supported by a strong 76% chance of BTTS and a high likelihood (77%) of the match exceeding 2.5 goals, with an anticipated scoreline around 1-1. These statistical projections suggest an open contest with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides; please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.93

Most likely score

1-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 76%

No 24%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2025 VfB Stuttgart 0–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim