SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 3 May, 18:30
SC Freiburg
11 Full time
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 16%
Away 20%

💡 SC Freiburg are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1393 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Freiburg v Wolfsburg

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Why we predict this

  • SC Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1393).
  • SC Freiburg is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Freiburg
Home advantage
Freiburg

Green = favours Freiburg · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FreiburgWLWWL1.8 ppg
WolfsburgLLLWD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Freiburg1491
Wolfsburg1393
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 21% · 18%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning68% · 16% · 16%

AI match preview

SC Freiburg are favored to secure a win against VfL Wolfsburg, with a 64% probability and a confidence rating of 76/100, according to model projections. The expected goals suggest an attacking affair, with Freiburg likely to net around 2.35 goals compared to Wolfsburg's 1.26, making a 2-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. Additionally, there's a strong chance for over 2.5 goals (70%) and both teams to score (66%), but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.26

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Europa-Park Stadion Freiburg, Germany Capacity 34,700 · grass
Overcast · 18.2°C
Feels like 14.7°C Wind 13 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg