SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 2 May, 14:30
SV Werder Bremen
13 Full time
FC Augsburg
SV Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 34%

💡 SV Werder Bremen have a slight edge — leaning SV Werder Bremen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1468 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bremen v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1434 vs 1468).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Bremen
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Bremen

Green = favours Bremen · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BremenWLLWD1.4 ppg
AugsburgLDDWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bremen1434
Augsburg1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 33% · 30%

AI match preview

SV Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 38% probability, though a draw (29%) or away victory (34%) remain well within reach. Both teams are expected to produce a tight match with nearly equal expected goals (1.36 for Bremen, 1.38 for Augsburg), making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. The game has moderate chances for over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%), highlighting potential attacking opportunities but no clear outcome; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass
Overcast · 26.4°C
Feels like 23.7°C Wind 17 km/h Rain chance 3%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 SV Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg
Dec 2025 FC Augsburg 0–0 SV Werder Bremen