1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 2 May, 14:30
1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 26%
Away 36%

💡 1. FC Union Berlin have a slight edge — leaning 1. FC Union Berlin, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1403 v 1437 1. FC Köln rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1403 vs 1437).
  • 1. FC Köln is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
1. FC Köln
Form Index
1. FC Köln
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours 1. FC Köln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLDLLL0.2 ppg
1. FC KölnDDWDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1403
1. FC Köln1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 31%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 24% · 42%

AI match preview

1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% versus 36% for the visitors. Both teams are projected to score, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 reflecting the tight expected goals tally of 1.39 to 1.22. With just under half the probability for over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass
Clear · 25.2°C
Feels like 23.3°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln
Dec 2025 1. FC Köln 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin