Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 10 May, 14:30
Hamburger SV
32 Full time
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 33%

💡 Hamburger SV have a slight edge — leaning Hamburger SV, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1486 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on HSV v Freiburg

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Why we predict this

  • SC Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1486 vs 1443).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
HSV
Home advantage
HSV

Green = favours HSV · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HSVDLLLW0.8 ppg
FreiburgLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
HSV1443
Freiburg1486
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning31% · 27% · 42%

AI match preview

Hamburger SV hosts SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, while a draw and away win are also plausible outcomes. The model forecasts 1.60 expected goals for Hamburg versus 0.95 for Freiburg, suggesting a competitive match that could see both teams scoring, with a 50% probability of BTTS. With a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals, this encounter promises balanced action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg
Jan 2026 SC Freiburg 2–1 Hamburger SV