TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 9 May, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 SV Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 14%
Away 15%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1575 v 1416 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1575 vs 1416).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimLDWWD1.6 ppg
BremenLLWDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1575
Bremen1416
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 23% · 18%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning85% · 7% · 7%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are favored to claim victory with a 71% probability, backed by a solid expected goals advantage of 2.05 to 1.08 over SV Werder Bremen. Despite this, a draw remains a plausible outcome at 14%, with the model surprisingly highlighting 1-1 as the most likely scoreline. Fans can also anticipate a competitive match with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability both teams will score; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.05 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 SV Werder Bremen
Jan 2026 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim