FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 9 May, 14:30
FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 24%
Away 28%

💡 FC Augsburg are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1486 v 1460 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Augsburg v M'gladbach

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1486 vs 1460).
  • FC Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Augsburg
Home advantage
Augsburg

Green = favours Augsburg · Blue = favours M'gladbach. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AugsburgDDWDW1.8 ppg
M'gladbachDLDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Augsburg1486
M'gladbach1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 30% · 34%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning56% · 24% · 21%

AI match preview

FC Augsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 48% probability and a 53/100 confidence level. Both teams are projected to score similarly, with expected goals of 1.34 for Augsburg and 1.28 for Gladbach, suggesting a balanced encounter likely to end around 1-1. There is a moderate chance of both teams scoring (55%) and the match going over 2.5 goals (49%). These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

WWK Arena Augsburg, Germany Capacity 30,660 · grass
Partly cloudy · 21.3°C
Feels like 20.9°C Wind 5 km/h Rain chance 35%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Jan 2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 FC Augsburg