1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 10 May, 18:30
1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 1. FC Union Berlin

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 19%
Away 21%

💡 1. FSV Mainz 05 are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1402 Mainz rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mainz v Union Berlin

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Why we predict this

  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1402).
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mainz
Form Index
Mainz
Goal expectation
Mainz
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzWLDLW1.4 ppg
Union BerlinDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1501
Union Berlin1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 24%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning71% · 15% · 14%

AI match preview

Mainz 05 enter this Bundesliga clash with a 60% probability of securing a home win, holding a confidence level of 71/100, while Union Berlin are rated at 21% to take all three points. The model projects 1.44 expected goals for Mainz and 0.97 for Union, suggesting a tight contest with the most likely scoreline pegged at 1-1. With a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a competitive match, keeping in mind these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.97

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 1. FC Union Berlin
Jan 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05