SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 16 May, 14:30
SV Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 28%
Away 57%

💡 Borussia Dortmund are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1411 v 1640 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bremen v Dortmund

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1640 vs 1411).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Bremen

Green = favours Bremen · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BremenLWDLL0.8 ppg
DortmundLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bremen1411
Dortmund1640
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 23% · 63%
Power Rating25% · 12% · 63%
Machine-learning6% · 50% · 44%

AI match preview

Borussia Dortmund head to SV Werder Bremen with a strong statistical edge, holding a 57% chance to secure an away win, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.05 compared to Bremen's 0.89. A 0-2 scoreline is the most likely outcome, with just over half of the projections favoring more than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. These projections offer insight into probable scenarios, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 2.05

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass
Light showers · 11.3°C
Feels like 7.2°C Wind 18 km/h Rain chance 35%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
Jan 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SV Werder Bremen