1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 16 May, 14:30
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 32%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1409 v 1478 Mainz rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 is the stronger side on Power Rating (1478 vs 1409).
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mainz
Form Index
Heidenheim
Goal expectation
Mainz
Home advantage
Heidenheim

Green = favours Heidenheim · Blue = favours Mainz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeidenheimWLWDW2 ppg
MainzLDLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Heidenheim1409
Mainz1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 25% · 46%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning30% · 45% · 25%

AI match preview

The Bundesliga clash between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is projected to be finely balanced, with the model giving Mainz a slight edge at 36% compared to Heidenheim’s 32%, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 32%. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 67% probability for BTTS and a likely scoreline of 1-1, supported by expected goals of 1.48 for Heidenheim and 1.90 for Mainz. With a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.90

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05
Jan 2026 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846