FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 16 May, 14:30
FC St. Pauli 1910 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 25%
Away 37%

💡 FC St. Pauli 1910 have a slight edge — leaning FC St. Pauli 1910, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1375 v 1394 Wolfsburg rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1375 vs 1394).
  • VfL Wolfsburg is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wolfsburg
Form Index
Wolfsburg
Goal expectation
Wolfsburg
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliLDLLL0.2 ppg
WolfsburgLWDDL1 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1375
Wolfsburg1394
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 28% · 40%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning37% · 25% · 38%

AI match preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 host VfL Wolfsburg in a closely matched Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% win probability versus 37% for the visitors. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with both teams likely to find the net, reflected in a 1-1 predicted scoreline and a 61% chance of BTTS. Over 2.5 goals is also slightly favored at 56%, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.56

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg
Jan 2026 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910