1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 16 May, 14:30
1. FC Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 27%
Away 39%

💡 FC Augsburg have a slight edge — leaning FC Augsburg, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1499 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • FC Augsburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1499 vs 1425).
  • FC Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLLLDW0.8 ppg
AugsburgDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1425
Augsburg1499
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 28% · 34%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning27% · 27% · 46%

AI match preview

FC Augsburg enters their Bundesliga clash against 1. FC Union Berlin with a slight edge, holding a 39% chance of an away win compared to a 34% probability for the home side. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.47 for Union Berlin and 1.40 for Augsburg, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass
Overcast · 14°C
Feels like 10.7°C Wind 13 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg
Jan 2026 FC Augsburg 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin