Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 16 May, 14:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 27%
Away 49%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1579 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on M'gladbach v Hoffenheim

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Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1579 vs 1447).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
M'gladbach

Green = favours M'gladbach · Blue = favours Hoffenheim. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
M'gladbachLDDWL1 ppg
HoffenheimDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
M'gladbach1447
Hoffenheim1579
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 25% · 49%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning14% · 34% · 52%

AI match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach face TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga clash where the model favors an away win at 49%, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 27%. The expected goals suggest a competitive game with Hoffenheim slightly edging it (1.85 to 1.28), and a 1-1 scoreline remains the most likely result. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 60%, this match could see plenty of action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Borussia-Park Monchengladbach, Germany Capacity 54,042 · grass
Overcast · 13.4°C
Feels like 12°C Wind 9 km/h Rain chance 20%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Jan 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach