Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Preston North End FC 0–1 Derby County FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 25%
Away 30%

💡 Preston North End FC are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1494 Preston NE rated higher
Form Index DDLWW v DDLWL Preston NE 1.6 · Derby County 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Preston NE v Derby County

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Preston North End FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1494).
  • Preston North End FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Preston NE
Form Index
Preston NE
Goal expectation
Preston NE
Home advantage
Preston NE

Green = favours Preston NE · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Preston NEDDLWW1.6 ppg
Derby CountyDDLWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Preston NE1561
Derby County1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning39% · 30% · 31%

AI match preview

Preston North End host Derby County in a Championship clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain well within reach. The model predicts a tightly contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.31 for Preston and 1.19 for Derby, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With both teams expected to find the net in just over half of the simulations (52%), this encounter could see some attacking moments, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Preston North End FC 0–1 Derby County FC
Sept 2025 Derby County FC 0–1 Preston North End FC