Southampton FC vs Hull City AFC Prediction

Championship · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Southampton FC
12 Full time
Hull City AFC
Southampton FC 1–2 Hull City AFC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Southampton FC have a slight edge — leaning Southampton FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1529 Hull City rated higher
Form Index DLDDL v WWDWL Southampton 0.6 · Hull City 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Hull City

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1496 vs 1529).
  • Hull City AFC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hull City
Form Index
Hull City
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Hull City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonDLDDL0.6 ppg
Hull CityWWDWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1496
Hull City1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 32%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning47% · 31% · 22%

AI match preview

Southampton FC host Hull City AFC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 43%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both sides are projected to score, with an expected goals tally close at 1.55 for Southampton and 1.35 for Hull, suggesting a competitive match likely to produce goals. The chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring stand at 55% and 60% respectively, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Southampton FC 1–2 Hull City AFC
Sept 2025 Hull City AFC 3–1 Southampton FC