Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 21 Jan, 20:00
Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Stoke City FC have a slight edge — leaning Stoke City FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1529 v 1562 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index DLWWD v DLLWW Stoke 1.6 · Middlesbrough 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stoke v Middlesbrough

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1529 vs 1562).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Stoke
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeDLWWD1.6 ppg
MiddlesbroughDLLWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1529
Middlesbrough1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 32% · 28%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning40% · 28% · 32%

AI match preview

Stoke City FC hosts Middlesbrough FC in a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 41% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. Expected goals are relatively balanced, 1.24 for Stoke and 0.99 for Middlesbrough, suggesting a competitive match potentially ending in a 1-1 scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring being the likeliest scenarios, this game could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC
Sept 2025 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Stoke City FC