Derby County FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC Prediction

Championship · Fri 23 Jan, 20:00
Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 23%
Away 27%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1423 Derby County rated higher
Form Index LWLWW v WLLLL Derby County 1.8 · West Brom 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Derby County v West Brom

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1521 vs 1423).
  • Derby County FC is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Derby County
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours West Brom. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Derby CountyLWLWW1.8 ppg
West BromWLLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Derby County1521
West Brom1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning44% · 27% · 29%

AI match preview

Derby County FC and West Bromwich Albion FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving Derby a 50% chance to claim victory and a 56.9% confidence in that outcome. Expected goals suggest a tight game, with Derby slightly ahead at 1.48 to 1.14, but the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With both teams likely to find the net and a near-even chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC
Sept 2025 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–1 Derby County FC