Bristol City FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Championship · Tue 17 Feb, 19:45
Bristol City FC
22 Full time
Wrexham AFC
Bristol City FC 2–2 Wrexham AFC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 27%
Away 33%

💡 Bristol City FC have a slight edge — leaning Bristol City FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1534 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index DLWLW v LDWWL Bristol City 1.4 · Wrexham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1503 vs 1534).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Bristol City

Green = favours Bristol City · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Bristol CityDLWLW1.4 ppg
WrexhamLDWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Bristol City1503
Wrexham1534
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 31% · 36%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 28% · 27%

AI match preview

Bristol City FC and Wrexham AFC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 40%, while a draw and away win stand at 27% and 33%, respectively. Both teams are projected to score around 1.2 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome, supported by a 51% chance of both teams finding the net. The probability of over 2.5 goals is moderate at 44%, suggesting a balanced encounter; remember these predictions are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Bristol City FC 2–2 Wrexham AFC
Nov 2025 Wrexham AFC 2–0 Bristol City FC