Charlton Athletic FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 11 Feb, 19:45
Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 29%
Away 34%

💡 Charlton Athletic FC have a slight edge — leaning Charlton Athletic FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1498 Stoke rated higher
Form Index WLLWD v DLDLD Charlton 1.4 · Stoke 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Charlton v Stoke

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1498).
  • Charlton Athletic FC is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stoke
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonWLLWD1.4 ppg
StokeDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1469
Stoke1498
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 38% · 33%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning41% · 25% · 34%

AI match preview

Charlton Athletic FC and Stoke City FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a Charlton home win at 37% probability, though a draw or away victory remain plausible. Both sides are projected to produce a low-scoring encounter, with expected goals under 1 each and a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline. With only a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% probability of both teams scoring, this match may hinge on defensive solidity and narrow margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 22%

Under 78%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Stoke City FC
Nov 2025 Stoke City FC 3–0 Charlton Athletic FC