Leicester City FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 10 Feb, 19:45
Leicester City FC 3–4 Southampton FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Leicester City FC have a slight edge — leaning Leicester City FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1524 Southampton rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v LWDWW Leicester City 0.2 · Southampton 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leicester City v Southampton

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1454).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Leicester City
Home advantage
Leicester City

Green = favours Leicester City · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Leicester CityLDLLL0.2 ppg
SouthamptonLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leicester City1454
Southampton1524
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 26% · 35%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning51% · 30% · 19%

AI match preview

Leicester City FC hosts Southampton FC in a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 27% and 31% respectively. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting an evenly matched game likely to produce around 1-1, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% likelihood both teams scoring. These projections highlight the competitive nature of the fixture, but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

King Power Stadium Leicester, England Capacity 32,261 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Leicester City FC 3–4 Southampton FC
Nov 2025 Southampton FC 3–0 Leicester City FC