Southampton FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 21 Feb, 15:00
Southampton FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 22%
Away 22%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1535 v 1458 Southampton rated higher
Form Index WDWWW v LWDWL Southampton 2.6 · Charlton 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Charlton

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1458).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWDWWW2.6 ppg
CharltonLWDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1535
Charlton1458
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 30% · 17%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning55% · 23% · 21%

AI match preview

Southampton FC are favored to edge Charlton Athletic FC with a 56% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.44 to 0.71. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely ending 1-0, with draws and away wins each carrying a 22% probability. While the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring remains relatively low, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.71

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Southampton FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC
Nov 2025 Charlton Athletic FC 1–5 Southampton FC