Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 24 Feb, 19:45
Hull City AFC
42 Full time
Derby County FC
Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 24%
Away 37%

💡 Hull City AFC have a slight edge — leaning Hull City AFC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1537 v 1528 Hull City rated higher
Form Index WWDLL v DWLWL Hull City 1.4 · Derby County 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hull City v Derby County

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1537 vs 1528).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hull City
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Hull City

Green = favours Hull City · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Hull CityWWDLL1.4 ppg
Derby CountyDWLWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hull City1537
Derby County1528
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 25% · 53%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning43% · 29% · 28%

AI match preview

Hull City AFC and Derby County FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% compared to 37% for the visitors, and a 24% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest Derby might have a stronger attacking output (1.92) than Hull (1.18), making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each hovering around 60%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.92

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC
Nov 2025 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC