Middlesbrough FC vs Leicester City FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 24 Feb, 19:45
Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Leicester City FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 21%
Away 23%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1583 v 1447 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWWLD v LLLLD Middlesbrough 2.0 · Leicester City 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Leicester City

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1583 vs 1447).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Leicester City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWWLD2.0 ppg
Leicester CityLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1583
Leicester City1447
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 25% · 15%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning40% · 28% · 32%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC holds a 56% probability of securing a home win against Leicester City FC, with the model giving a 65/100 confidence rating to this outcome. While the expected goals suggest Middlesbrough may edge the scoring at 1.88 to 0.85, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. There is roughly a 50% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, highlighting the potential for an open game; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Leicester City FC
Nov 2025 Leicester City FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC