Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 28 Feb, 12:30
Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 25%
Away 26%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1515 v 1450 Derby County rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Derby County v Blackburn

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1515 vs 1450).
  • Blackburn Rovers FC is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Blackburn
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours Blackburn. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Derby CountyWLWLL1.2 ppg
BlackburnWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Derby County1515
Blackburn1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 33% · 33%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning54% · 28% · 18%

AI match preview

Derby County FC and Blackburn Rovers FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 49% probability. Both teams are expected to produce similar attacking output, with an anticipated 1.10 and 1.08 goals respectively, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. While the chance of over 2.5 goals stands at 37%, there is a 46% probability both teams will find the net; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC
Nov 2025 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC