Middlesbrough FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 11 Mar, 19:45
Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1611 v 1463 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Charlton

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1611 vs 1463).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughLDDWW1.6 ppg
CharltonLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1611
Charlton1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 28% · 13%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning56% · 26% · 17%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC enter this Championship clash with a 61% probability of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.56 compared to Charlton Athletic FC's 0.60. The model favors a tight 1-0 scoreline, with draws and away victories less likely at 22% and 17% respectively. With only a 37% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match may lean towards a low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 0.60

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC
Dec 2025 Charlton Athletic FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC