Middlesbrough FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 14 Mar, 12:30
Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Bristol City FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 24%
Away 23%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1594 v 1463 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Bristol City

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1463).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughDDWWL1.6 ppg
Bristol CityLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1594
Bristol City1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 32% · 20%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning44% · 29% · 27%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC holds a slight edge with a 53% probability to claim victory against Bristol City FC, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.29 to 0.74. The model projects a tight encounter, most likely finishing 1-0, with a relatively low chance for over 2.5 goals or both teams to score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered thoughtfully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Bristol City FC
Dec 2025 Bristol City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC