Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Mon 6 Apr, 17:30
Swansea City AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 27%
Away 39%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1573 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1490).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWWLLD1.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWLDDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1490
Middlesbrough1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 29% · 41%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 39%
Machine-learning38% · 25% · 37%

AI match preview

Swansea City AFC host Middlesbrough FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 27% chance. Both sides are expected to score, reflected in a 55% probability for BTTS and a likely 1-1 outcome based on expected goals of 1.19 for Swansea and 1.44 for Middlesbrough. With just under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, this match could see a balanced contest full of scoring opportunities. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.44

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Swansea City AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Aug 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC