Middlesbrough FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 11 Apr, 15:00
Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Portsmouth FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1572 v 1438 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Portsmouth

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1572 vs 1438).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Portsmouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughLDDLD0.6 ppg
PortsmouthLLLDD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1572
Portsmouth1438
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 26% · 13%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning55% · 28% · 17%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC enter this Championship clash as clear favorites with a 61% chance of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.73 compared to Portsmouth’s 0.70. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely ending 1-0, with under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring. As always, these projections are based on statistical analysis and should be used responsibly—gamble only if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.70

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Portsmouth FC
Oct 2025 Portsmouth FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC