Ipswich Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sun 19 Apr, 12:00
Ipswich Town FC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 23%
Away 27%

💡 Ipswich Town FC are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1613 v 1556 Ipswich Town rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ipswich Town FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1613 vs 1556).
  • Ipswich Town FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ipswich Town
Form Index
Ipswich Town
Goal expectation
Ipswich Town
Home advantage
Ipswich Town

Green = favours Ipswich Town · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ipswich TownWDWWL2 ppg
MiddlesbroughDDLDL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ipswich Town1613
Middlesbrough1556
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 29% · 23%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning47% · 25% · 28%

AI match preview

Ipswich Town FC holds a slight edge with a 51% chance of victory against Middlesbrough FC, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 23%. The model predicts a closely contested match with expected goals favoring Ipswich at 1.55 to 1.02, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 52% probability for both teams to score and under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, this game could hinge on tight margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Portman Road Ipswich, England Capacity 30,311 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Ipswich Town FC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Oct 2025 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Ipswich Town FC