Wrexham AFC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 18 Apr, 15:00
Wrexham AFC
20 Full time
Stoke City FC
Wrexham AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 24%
Away 25%

💡 Wrexham AFC are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1467 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1521 vs 1467).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Stoke
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLWDLL0.8 ppg
StokeWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1521
Stoke1467
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning53% · 28% · 19%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC holds a slight edge with a 51% chance of securing a home win against Stoke City FC, though a draw remains a notable 24% possibility. The projected expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with Wrexham at 1.46 and Stoke at 1.16, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With both teams predicted to find the net 54% of the time and just under half the matches expected to exceed 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC
Oct 2025 Stoke City FC 1–0 Wrexham AFC