Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 2 May, 12:30
Wrexham AFC
22 Full time
Middlesbrough FC
Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 26%
Away 37%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1573 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Wrexham v Middlesbrough

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1533 vs 1573).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWL1.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughDLDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1533
Middlesbrough1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 24% · 48%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning43% · 28% · 29%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC and Middlesbrough FC face off in a Championship clash with the model giving both sides a 37% chance to win, while a draw is slightly less likely at 26%. The expected goals favor Middlesbrough with 2.04 compared to Wrexham's 1.54, and a 1-1 draw is projected as the most probable scoreline. With a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 2.04

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Oct 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Wrexham AFC