Elche CF vs Sevilla FC Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 19 Jan, 20:00
Elche CF
22 Full time
Sevilla FC
Elche CF 2–2 Sevilla FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 21%
Away 24%

💡 Elche CF are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.2/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1484 v 1437 Elche rated higher
Form Index WLWLD v DWLLL Elche 1.4 · Sevilla FC 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Sevilla FC

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Why we predict this

  • Elche CF is the stronger side on Power Rating (1484 vs 1437).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Elche
Form Index
Elche
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Sevilla FC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheWLWLD1.4 ppg
Sevilla FCDWLLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1484
Sevilla FC1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 27% · 18%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning54% · 19% · 26%

AI match preview

Elche CF are favored to edge out Sevilla FC with a 55% chance of a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.71 to 0.88. Despite this, the model suggests a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, reflecting the competitive nature of the match. With nearly equal probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a closely contested game; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.71 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Elche CF 2–2 Sevilla FC
Sept 2025 Sevilla FC 2–2 Elche CF