Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 24 Jan, 13:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–3 CA Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 30%
Away 25%

💡 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.2/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1465 Rayo Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DLDWL v LWDLW Rayo Vallecano 1.0 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rayo Vallecano v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1466 vs 1465).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (0.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Rayo Vallecano
Home advantage
Rayo Vallecano

Green = favours Rayo Vallecano · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rayo VallecanoDLDWL1.0 ppg
OsasunaLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano1466
Osasuna1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 42% · 13%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning43% · 28% · 28%

AI match preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid hold a 45% chance of securing victory against CA Osasuna, with the model suggesting a low-scoring encounter given the expected goals of 0.85 to 0.34. Despite the home side's slight edge, a draw remains a plausible outcome at 30%, and the most probable scoreline is a goalless stalemate. With just a 12% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 18% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match may lean towards a tight defensive battle; these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 0.34

Most likely score

0-0

32% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 12%

Under 88%

Both teams to score

Yes 18%

No 82%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–3 CA Osasuna
Sept 2025 CA Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid