Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 1 Feb, 20:00
Athletic Club 1–1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (37%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 37%
Away 33%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (37%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.4/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1512 Real Sociedad rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v DDWWW Athletic 0.2 · Real Sociedad 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Athletic v Real Sociedad

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Why we predict this

  • Real Sociedad de Fútbol is the stronger side on Power Rating (1512 vs 1447).
  • Real Sociedad de Fútbol is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Sociedad
Form Index
Real Sociedad
Goal expectation
Real Sociedad
Home advantage
Athletic

Green = favours Athletic · Blue = favours Real Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AthleticLLDLL0.2 ppg
Real SociedadDDWWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Athletic1447
Real Sociedad1512
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 34% · 36%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning22% · 52% · 26%

AI match preview

Athletic Club hosts Real Sociedad in a tightly poised Primera Division clash, with the model slightly favoring a draw at 37% probability and a predicted 1-1 scoreline. Both teams are expected to produce a closely matched contest with just over one goal each on average, while the chance of both teams scoring stands at 44%. With a modest 35% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, this game may lean towards a balanced, competitive encounter—remember these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

San Mames Bilbao, Spain Capacity 53,289 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Athletic Club 1–1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Nov 2025 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–2 Athletic Club