RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Fri 30 Jan, 20:00
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–2 Deportivo Alavés

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 22%
Away 21%

💡 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.8/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1450 Espanyol rated higher
Form Index WLDLL v LDLLW Espanyol 0.8 · Alavés 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1450).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Espanyol
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Espanyol
Home advantage
Espanyol

Green = favours Espanyol · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanyolWLDLL0.8 ppg
AlavésLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Espanyol1501
Alavés1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 33% · 17%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning66% · 17% · 17%

AI match preview

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona enters this Primera Division clash as the statistical favorite with a 57% chance of securing a home win, while Deportivo Alavés holds a 21% probability of an upset. The model projects a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting a modest goal output and a low likelihood of both teams scoring or a high-scoring game. Fans should note these projections are based on probabilities and are not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–2 Deportivo Alavés
Nov 2025 Deportivo Alavés 2–1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona