Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 14 Feb, 17:30
Sevilla FC
11 Full time
Deportivo Alavés
Sevilla FC 1–1 Deportivo Alavés

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Sevilla FC are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.6/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1444 Alavés rated higher
Form Index LDWLD v LLWWL Sevilla FC 1.0 · Alavés 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla FC v Alavés

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1433 vs 1444).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alavés
Form Index
Alavés
Goal expectation
Sevilla FC
Home advantage
Sevilla FC

Green = favours Sevilla FC · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sevilla FCLDWLD1.0 ppg
AlavésLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla FC1433
Alavés1444
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 21%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning59% · 24% · 17%

AI match preview

Sevilla FC holds a slight statistical edge with a 51% chance of securing a win against Deportivo Alavés, while a draw stands at 25% and an away victory at 24%. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.39 for Sevilla and 0.84 for Alavés, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With only a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% likelihood of both teams scoring, this game may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.84

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sevilla FC 1–1 Deportivo Alavés
Sept 2025 Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Sevilla FC