Girona FC vs FC Barcelona Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 16 Feb, 20:00
Girona FC
21 Full time
FC Barcelona
Girona FC 2–1 FC Barcelona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 21%
Away 67%

💡 FC Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 79.1/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1685 Barça rated higher
Form Index WWDLD v WLWWW Girona 1.6 · Barça 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Barça

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Why we predict this

  • FC Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1685 vs 1464).
  • FC Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barça
Form Index
Barça
Goal expectation
Barça
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Barça. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaWWDLD1.6 ppg
BarçaWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1464
Barça1685
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 15% · 75%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 62%
Machine-learning2% · 35% · 63%

AI match preview

Girona FC hosts FC Barcelona in a Primera Division clash where the model favors an away win with a 67% probability and strong confidence at 79.1/100. The expected goals total suggests a lively encounter, projecting 1.03 for Girona and 2.93 for Barcelona, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. With a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood both teams score, this match promises attacking action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 2.93

Most likely score

1-2

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Girona FC 2–1 FC Barcelona
Oct 2025 FC Barcelona 2–1 Girona FC