Deportivo Alavés vs Girona FC Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 23 Feb, 20:00
Deportivo Alavés
22 Full time
Girona FC
Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Girona FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 33%
Away 30%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.8/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1479 Girona rated higher
Form Index LWWLD v WDLDW Alavés 1.4 · Girona 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1446 vs 1479).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Alavés
Home advantage
Alavés

Green = favours Alavés · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavésLWWLD1.4 ppg
GironaWDLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alavés1446
Girona1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 32% · 27%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning30% · 43% · 27%

AI match preview

Deportivo Alavés and Girona FC are projected to produce a tight Primera Division clash, with a draw being the most likely outcome at 33% confidence. The model suggests a low-scoring encounter, estimating 1.27 goals for Alavés and 1.00 for Girona, with a 1-1 scoreline as the most probable result. Fans might expect a cautious game, as both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities remain below 50%. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Girona FC
Nov 2025 Girona FC 1–0 Deportivo Alavés