Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 21 Feb, 15:15
Real Betis Balompié 1–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 14%
Away 17%

💡 Real Betis Balompié are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.5/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1466 Real Betis rated higher
Form Index WLWWW v WLLLW Real Betis 2.4 · Rayo Vallecano 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Betis Balompié is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1466).
  • Real Betis Balompié is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Betis
Form Index
Real Betis
Goal expectation
Real Betis
Home advantage
Real Betis

Green = favours Real Betis · Blue = favours Rayo Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real BetisWLWWW2.4 ppg
Rayo VallecanoWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Real Betis1566
Rayo Vallecano1466
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 22% · 13%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning82% · 7% · 11%

AI match preview

Real Betis Balompié holds a strong statistical edge with a 70% probability of securing a home win against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.13 to 0.87. The model anticipates a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a moderate 58% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals and a 52% chance both teams will score. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models and should be used as a guide; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.13 – 0.87

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Real Betis Balompié 1–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Dec 2025 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0–0 Real Betis Balompié