CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 21 Feb, 17:30
CA Osasuna
21 Full time
Real Madrid CF
CA Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid CF

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 30%
Away 50%

💡 Real Madrid CF are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1670 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v WWWWW Osasuna 2.2 · Real Madrid 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid CF is the stronger side on Power Rating (1670 vs 1501).
  • Real Madrid CF is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 2.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaWWDWD2.2 ppg
Real MadridWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1501
Real Madrid1670
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 25% · 52%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning7% · 50% · 43%

AI match preview

In this Primera Division clash, Real Madrid CF are favored with a 50% chance to claim victory over CA Osasuna, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Osasuna and 1.90 for Real Madrid, with a 1-1 scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome despite Real Madrid's slight edge. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also probable scenarios, at 60% and 61% respectively—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be considered carefully when betting; gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.90

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 CA Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid CF
Aug 2025 Real Madrid CF 1–0 CA Osasuna