Valencia CF vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 8 Mar, 20:00
Valencia CF
32 Full time
Deportivo Alavés
Valencia CF 3–2 Deportivo Alavés

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 21%
Away 23%

💡 Valencia CF are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.8/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1474 v 1429 Valencia rated higher
Form Index LLWLW v WLDDL Valencia 1.2 · Alavés 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Alavés

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Why we predict this

  • Valencia CF is the stronger side on Power Rating (1474 vs 1429).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valencia
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLLWLW1.2 ppg
AlavésWLDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1474
Alavés1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 33% · 16%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning63% · 15% · 23%

AI match preview

Valencia CF enters this Primera Division clash with a 56% chance of securing a home win against Deportivo Alavés, according to model projections. The expected goals suggest a tight affair, with Valencia favored to edge a 1-0 victory, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. Low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (28%) and both teams scoring (33%) indicate a match that could hinge on a single decisive moment; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.59

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Valencia CF 3–2 Deportivo Alavés
Oct 2025 Deportivo Alavés 0–0 Valencia CF