Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Levante UD Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 16 Mar, 20:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Levante UD

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 21%
Away 28%

💡 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.2/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1415 Rayo Vallecano rated higher
Form Index WDDWD v LLLWD Rayo Vallecano 1.8 · Levante 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rayo Vallecano v Levante

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Why we predict this

  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1482 vs 1415).
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano
Form Index
Rayo Vallecano
Goal expectation
Rayo Vallecano
Home advantage
Rayo Vallecano

Green = favours Rayo Vallecano · Blue = favours Levante. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rayo VallecanoWDDWD1.8 ppg
LevanteLLLWD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano1482
Levante1415
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 32% · 24%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning50% · 17% · 33%

AI match preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid enter this Primera Division clash with a slight statistical edge, holding a 51% chance of a home win compared to Levante UD's 28%, while a draw stands at 21%. The model projects a modest goal tally, with expected goals favoring Rayo at 1.26 to Levante's 0.86, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the home win pick. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability of both teams scoring, this game could be a closely contested affair; remember, these projections are based on statistics and should guide responsible betting (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Levante UD
Oct 2025 Levante UD 0–3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid