Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 15 Mar, 20:00
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–1 CA Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Real Sociedad de Fútbol are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.9/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1500 Real Sociedad rated higher
Form Index WLDWL v WDWLD Real Sociedad 1.4 · Osasuna 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Real Sociedad v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1512 vs 1500).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Sociedad
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Real Sociedad
Home advantage
Real Sociedad

Green = favours Real Sociedad · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real SociedadWLDWL1.4 ppg
OsasunaWDWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Real Sociedad1512
Osasuna1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 22%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning61% · 19% · 20%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad de Fútbol holds a slight statistical edge with a 52% chance of securing a home win against CA Osasuna, who stand at 24% for an away victory. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goal tally of 1.40 for the hosts and 0.88 for the visitors, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the home advantage. With under 2.5 goals and a less than 50% probability of both teams scoring, this game could be a tight affair; remember, these projections are based on statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–1 CA Osasuna
Nov 2025 CA Osasuna 1–3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol