RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 22 Mar, 15:15
RC Celta de Vigo 3–4 Deportivo Alavés

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 17%
Away 20%

💡 RC Celta de Vigo are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1536 v 1425 Celta rated higher
Form Index DWWLD v DDLLD Celta 1.6 · Alavés 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • RC Celta de Vigo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1536 vs 1425).
  • RC Celta de Vigo is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaDWWLD1.6 ppg
AlavésDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1536
Alavés1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 30% · 19%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning75% · 8% · 16%

AI match preview

RC Celta de Vigo enters this Primera Division clash with a 64% chance of securing a home win, backed by a solid confidence rating of 76/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.46 for Celta against 0.78 for Deportivo Alavés, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most probable outcome. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain below 50%, these projections offer insight into the match dynamics—please remember to bet responsibly and only if aged 18 or over.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 0.78

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Abanca-Balaidos Vigo, Spain Capacity 24,791 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 RC Celta de Vigo 3–4 Deportivo Alavés
Nov 2025 Deportivo Alavés 0–1 RC Celta de Vigo