Deportivo Alavés vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 5 Apr, 20:00
Deportivo Alavés
22 Full time
CA Osasuna
Deportivo Alavés 2–2 CA Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 33%
Away 29%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (33%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1441 v 1496 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v WLDLW Alavés 1.0 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alavés v Osasuna

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • CA Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1441).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Alavés
Home advantage
Alavés

Green = favours Alavés · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavésDLLDW1.0 ppg
OsasunaWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Alavés1441
Osasuna1496
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 36% · 22%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 39% · 27%

AI match preview

Deportivo Alavés and CA Osasuna are projected to face a tightly contested Primera Division clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 33% likelihood. Expected goals favor Alavés marginally at 1.07 versus Osasuna's 0.70, suggesting a low-scoring encounter most likely ending 0-0. With only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 0.70

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Deportivo Alavés 2–2 CA Osasuna
Dec 2025 CA Osasuna 3–0 Deportivo Alavés